He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -6.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money KENN -300 / QUC +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual QUC +7 159 Lost
Massey KENN -7.9 (-14.9)
Massey Totals 156.6 (+2.4)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -4.6 (-11.6) 151.2 (+7.8) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -6.3 (-13.3) 154.4 (+4.6) 76%
Baseline ML KENN -6.8 (-13.8) 154.7 (+4.3) 78%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -6.3 (-13.3) 156.0 (+3.0) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 QUC 9182 KENN
Jan 6, 2024 KENN 8077 QUC
Mar 1, 2023 KENN 6766 QUC
Jan 8, 2023 KENN 7667 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN QUC
Overall 26-9 18-15
Conference 15-3 7-11
Home 15-1 8-5
Away 10-6 7-10
Neutral 1-2 3-0
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 75.6
Avg Pts Against 70.9 75.5
Massey 1.7 (#140) -2.6 (#216)
Bradley-Terry 1.34 (#68) -0.16 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.19 (#95) -0.39 (#204)
RPI 0.572 (#59) 0.486 (#203)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN QUC
FG% 45.6% 44.2%
3PT% 37.3% 34.5%
REB / G 33.9 36.5
OREB / G 9.5 11.0
AST / TO 1.10 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 51.9%
TOV% 18.4% 17.6%
ORB% 27.7% 30.5%
FT Rate 25.1% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 15.5%
DRB% 74.3% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 17.2%

Game Analysis

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