Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 176.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -110 KENN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +9 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -1.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -0.6 (+8.4) | 166.3 (+6.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.3 (+7.7) | 165.4 (+7.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -0.5 (+8.5) | 166.5 (+6.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -0.8 (+8.2) | 165.3 (+7.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2024 | KENN 80 – 77 QUC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KENN 67 – 66 QUC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | QUC 83 – 76 KENN |
| Jan 8, 2023 | KENN 76 – 67 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#282) | -5.0 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#257) | -0.66 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#271) | -0.69 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#245) | 0.450 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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