Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -350 OMA +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -10.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -8.2 (+3.8) | 149.3 (-1.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -8.3 (+3.7) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -7.5 (+4.5) | 151.2 (-3.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -6.8 (+5.2) | 152.6 (-4.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | STMN 68 – 53 OMA |
| Feb 13, 2026 | OMA 98 – 94 STMN |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OMA 85 – 75 STMN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | STMN 95 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | OMA 89 – 78 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#174) | -6.0 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#156) | -0.31 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#182) | -0.50 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#200) | 0.495 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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