Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -200 CBU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | NMSU -7.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -5.6 (-14.6) | 135.8 (-4.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -4.7 (-13.7) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -4.6 (-13.6) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -4.7 (-13.7) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2023 | NMSU 66 – 61 CBU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | NMSU 68 – 57 CBU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | NMSU 97 – 70 CBU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | CBU 85 – 75 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | -0.0 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#187) | -0.31 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#155) | -0.19 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#167) | 0.460 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.