Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -700 CBU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -11.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -11.1 (-0.1) | 140.9 (-15.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -11.5 (-0.5) | 144.2 (-19.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -12.5 (-1.5) | 143.2 (-18.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -11.6 (-0.6) | 142.6 (-17.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2023 | NMSU 66 – 61 CBU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | CBU 70 – 61 NMSU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | NMSU 97 – 70 CBU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | CBU 85 – 75 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 10-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#97) | -3.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#45) | -0.60 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#65) | -0.84 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#34) | 0.448 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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