Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -110 CBU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -2.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -3.0 (+8.0) | 134.9 (-7.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -1.0 (+6.0) | 139.5 (-12.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.5 (+5.5) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -1.1 (+6.1) | 139.2 (-12.2) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2023 | CBU 70 – 61 NMSU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | NMSU 68 – 57 CBU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | NMSU 97 – 70 CBU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | CBU 85 – 75 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#289) | -0.4 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#306) | 0.03 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#298) | 0.13 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#290) | 0.482 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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