Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -600 APP +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -17.8 (-26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -13.6 (-22.6) | 144.6 (-11.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -11.4 (-20.4) | 143.0 (-10.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -13.1 (-22.1) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -14.2 (-23.2) | 144.8 (-11.8) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | JMU 69 – 58 APP |
| Jan 15, 2026 | APP 80 – 65 JMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | APP 58 – 50 JMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | APP 86 – 66 JMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | APP 82 – 76 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#39) | -3.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#117) | -0.82 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#84) | -1.29 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#147) | 0.465 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.