Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -450 CIT +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -9.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -6.6 (+13.4) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -8.0 (+12.0) | 140.7 (-6.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -7.0 (+13.0) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.0 (+14.0) | 140.9 (-6.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#206) | -7.4 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#217) | -1.03 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#230) | -1.27 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#242) | 0.458 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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