Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | UNH +350 UVM -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -4.2 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -4.2 (+11.2) | 131.4 (-4.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.9 (+11.9) | 131.2 (-4.2) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -4.8 (+11.8) | 130.5 (-3.5) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -4.7 (+11.7) | 131.4 (-4.4) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 14-2 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#304) | 0.9 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#313) | 0.32 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#320) | 0.18 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#311) | 0.534 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.