Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -110 MONT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -1.6 (-3.4) | 150.5 (+2.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.2 (-3.8) | 149.2 (+3.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -1.4 (-3.6) | 150.8 (+2.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.8 (-3.2) | 151.4 (+1.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#271) | 0.1 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#250) | -0.27 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#239) | -0.12 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#229) | 0.484 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 36.7% |
Game Analysis
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