We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Maine Black Bears
83 – 91 OT
FINAL Conference
NJIT Highlanders
America East Conference · Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium · January 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ME -6.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money ME -275 / NJIT +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total ME win
Actual NJIT +8 174 Lost
Massey ME -9.6 (-17.6) — —
Massey Totals — 135.6 (+38.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ME -5.5 (-13.5) 137.0 (+37.0) 71% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ME -7.5 (-15.5) 136.2 (+37.8) 73% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ME -6.6 (-14.6) 136.9 (+37.1) 76% ✗
Baseline ML ME -5.9 (-13.9) 137.5 (+36.5) 70% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 NJIT 60 – 58 ME
Feb 14, 2026 NJIT 67 – 58 ME
Jan 10, 2026 ME 74 – 70 NJIT
Feb 6, 2025 ME 78 – 74 NJIT
Jan 16, 2025 ME 57 – 44 NJIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ME NJIT
Overall 13-17 7-23
Conference 7-9 4-12
Home 8-4 5-8
Away 5-12 2-15
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 66.5 66.5
Avg Pts Against 70.7 73.5
Massey -3.2 (#229) -8.6 (#317)
Bradley-Terry -0.95 (#270) -2.23 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.68 (#222) -2.54 (#332)
RPI 0.473 (#222) 0.404 (#328)
Shooting & Four Factors ME NJIT
FG% 45.0% 40.0%
3PT% 35.3% 33.3%
REB / G 29.9 31.8
OREB / G 8.1 8.2
AST / TO 0.93 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 46.2%
TOV% 19.7% 17.2%
ORB% 24.6% 23.2%
FT Rate 14.3% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 16.9%
DRB% 68.9% 67.4%
Opp FT Rate 17.9% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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