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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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79–44 on winners spread MAE 9.4 123 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
George Mason @ George Washington	+4.3	141.2	68%	53–72	✓
Cornell @ Princeton	-0.2	158.8	48%	89–65	✓
Saint Peter's @ Sacred Heart	-1.4	142.8	42%	71–78	✗
Yale @ Dartmouth	-9.0	145.5	20%	83–70	✓
Quinnipiac @ Siena	+3.6	142.1	68%	74–62	✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider	-3.8	133.3	33%	65–55	✓
Iona @ Canisius	-7.0	136.3	27%	69–63	✓
Brown @ Harvard	+7.2	131.7	75%	53–56	✓
Columbia @ Pennsylvania	+1.8	142.2	63%	67–76	✓
Michigan State @ Wisconsin	-1.9	148.6	42%	71–92	✗
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago	-12.5	151.6	16%	86–59	✓
Massachusetts @ Akron	+13.0	157.3	88%	92–99	✓
Ohio @ Miami (OH)	+11.7	161.0	86%	74–90	✓
UNLV @ Boise State	+12.8	156.7	88%	86–83	✗
Hampton @ North Carolina A&T	-1.7	136.6	48%	70–71	✗
Clemson @ Duke	+13.2	132.9	88%	54–67	✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island	+5.8	130.6	68%	70–66	✗
TCU @ Oklahoma State	+0.4	151.6	56%	95–92	✗
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame	+9.1	148.1	81%	74–89	✓
California @ Boston College	-3.2	136.7	47%	86–75	✓
Navy @ Colgate	+1.0	137.0	53%	84–80	✗
Samford @ East Tennessee State	+6.8	143.7	75%	82–72	✗
UCLA @ Michigan	+15.2	155.9	88%	56–86	✓
Kansas @ Iowa State	+7.7	142.8	81%	56–74	✓
Northwestern @ Nebraska	+12.6	146.5	86%	49–68	✓
St. John's @ Providence	-6.7	166.5	21%	79–69	✓
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt	+9.7	168.6	81%	69–82	✓
Bucknell @ Boston University	+4.5	144.2	62%	69–82	✓
Long Island University @ New Haven	-6.0	128.1	25%	52–55	✗
Chicago State @ Le Moyne	+6.8	140.6	73%	63–81	✓
UMBC @ New Hampshire	-3.7	139.4	40%	85–63	✓
Furman @ VMI	-12.0	141.2	21%	90–72	✓
Mercer @ The Citadel	-10.2	149.6	17%	70–54	✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina	+13.1	141.9	87%	65–79	✓
East Carolina @ Rice	+4.8	145.5	68%	85–75	✗
Army @ American University	+8.5	143.7	79%	63–75	✓
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville	+5.9	135.2	74%	58–57	✗
High Point @ Gardner-Webb	-14.7	155.1	12%	112–87	✓
Florida State @ Virginia Tech	+6.5	158.7	75%	92–69	✗
SMU @ Syracuse	-2.6	156.2	49%	78–79	✗
North Dakota State @ North Dakota	-6.3	147.9	29%	83–66	✓
Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan	+4.8	142.9	71%	76–62	✗
Kent State @ Ball State	-7.7	143.0	22%	75–68	✓
Wagner @ Stonehill	+1.1	131.3	51%	68–57	✗
Mercyhurst @ Saint Francis	-3.8	136.3	33%	94–79	✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson	-0.2	136.2	47%	63–57	✓
Bryant @ Vermont	+9.8	134.9	85%	63–90	✓
Elon @ William & Mary	+6.2	159.8	76%	81–78	✗
West Georgia @ Central Arkansas	+11.5	151.8	87%	62–79	✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast	+8.8	148.9	85%	76–78	✓
Liberty @ UTEP	-6.4	136.0	24%	73–64	✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International	+2.8	143.0	59%	64–77	✓
Charleston Southern @ Radford	+3.5	163.5	73%	80–90	✓
Villanova @ Creighton	-2.6	142.1	42%	80–69	✓
Kentucky @ Florida	+10.1	150.3	82%	83–92	✓
Penn State @ Oregon	+5.8	142.1	76%	72–83	✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood	+4.3	145.0	75%	75–82	✓
Marquette @ Xavier	+4.3	157.0	68%	88–96	✓
NJIT @ Maine	-0.7	134.6	45%	67–58	✓
UL Monroe @ Texas State	+11.5	148.9	88%	84–95	✓
South Alabama @ Arkansas State	+7.3	144.7	76%	92–88	✗
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington	+10.2	143.0	85%	78–73	✗
Delaware @ Missouri State	+6.8	135.9	78%	76–67	✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State	-0.6	143.5	47%	60–80	✗
Georgia State @ Old Dominion	+2.6	144.9	64%	55–78	✓
Georgia @ Oklahoma	-1.9	168.2	43%	78–94	✗
Tennessee State @ Morehead State	-0.7	146.8	50%	86–94	✗
Kansas State @ Houston	+16.9	143.9	90%	64–78	✓
Colorado @ BYU	+13.1	157.5	87%	86–90	✓
Louisville @ Baylor	-3.9	157.6	31%	82–71	✓
Wyoming @ Colorado State	+4.0	136.2	69%	68–79	✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure	+2.5	154.1	62%	78–73	✗
Stanford @ Wake Forest	+3.6	148.4	68%	63–68	✓
Miami @ NC State	+4.3	156.3	71%	77–76	✗
UAlbany @ Binghamton	-4.6	134.5	38%	77–74	✓
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington	+2.6	136.8	66%	66–70	✓
App State @ James Madison	+0.3	134.4	52%	58–69	✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado	+1.2	145.6	56%	65–77	✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville	+5.2	152.0	69%	56–63	✓
Lipscomb @ Queens University	+0.8	159.5	56%	81–87	✓
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian	+0.9	134.9	56%	59–73	✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State	+9.8	131.9	84%	58–75	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State	+2.0	146.6	67%	61–79	✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State	-5.6	144.7	22%	55–57	✗
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	+1.7	132.1	58%	63–76	✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State	+0.2	131.3	52%	66–69	✓
New Orleans @ Houston Christian	-0.6	143.8	59%	60–61	✗
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville	-0.3	127.6	46%	81–76	✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Lindenwood	+1.6	149.3	66%	73–61	✗
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois	-0.8	132.3	46%	72–78	✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Howard	+11.0	130.4	87%	53–79	✓
Purdue @ Iowa	+0.8	138.6	53%	78–57	✗
Lehigh @ Lafayette	+0.9	141.0	53%	78–69	✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine	-5.1	144.8	30%	89–90	✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M	+14.2	137.1	89%	65–72	✓
Grand Canyon @ San José State	-9.5	136.4	23%	94–79	✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central	+9.8	142.1	87%	58–56	✗
Air Force @ Fresno State	+14.7	139.5	89%	63–93	✓
Toledo @ Bowling Green	+3.2	144.2	65%	70–80	✓
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan	+3.4	138.4	67%	46–88	✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro	-2.0	150.9	46%	89–99	✗
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga	+0.7	145.1	63%	81–76	✗
Long Beach State @ UC Davis	+5.9	147.4	78%	54–71	✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word	+2.2	144.2	61%	91–83	✗
Idaho State @ Idaho	+3.8	144.3	68%	69–99	✓
Weber State @ Eastern Washington	+1.3	154.2	59%	66–84	✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana	-0.5	140.2	41%	82–74	✓
Sam Houston @ Kennesaw State	+0.3	158.9	54%	83–79	✗
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State	+1.3	135.4	59%	79–70	✗
Grambling @ Texas Southern	-0.2	137.6	52%	79–82	✗
Southern @ Prairie View A&M	-1.3	159.2	44%	87–82	✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley	-0.1	140.0	52%	66–57	✓
Bellarmine @ Austin Peay	+11.5	150.4	86%	70–90	✓
VCU @ Richmond	-5.4	149.9	24%	78–67	✓
West Virginia @ UCF	+4.4	137.0	68%	74–67	✗
Brown @ Dartmouth	+4.2	139.3	65%	79–76	✗
Columbia @ Princeton	+0.5	138.6	55%	75–65	✗
Cornell @ Pennsylvania	+0.5	162.0	56%	76–82	✓
McNeese @ East Texas A&M	-12.2	139.4	13%	97–54	✓
LSU @ Tennessee	+11.1	147.1	87%	63–73	✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona	+10.7	157.3	81%	78–75	✗
Yale @ Harvard	-4.3	137.5	29%	76–75	✓
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss	+5.0	144.5	72%	90–78	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.