Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -105 TNST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +8 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -0.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -0.7 (+8.7) | 146.8 (+33.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -0.7 (+8.7) | 146.6 (+33.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -0.6 (+8.6) | 147.8 (+32.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -0.6 (+8.6) | 147.3 (+32.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | MORE 74 – 68 TNST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | MORE 68 – 49 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#293) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#239) | -0.24 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#266) | -0.76 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#221) | 0.520 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.