Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -170 TNST +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -3.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -3.4 (+2.6) | 149.9 (-7.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -2.8 (+3.2) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -3.2 (+2.8) | 150.7 (-8.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -2.8 (+3.2) | 151.0 (-9.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MORE 94 – 86 TNST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | MORE 68 – 49 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#330) | -9.5 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#271) | -2.90 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#301) | -3.57 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#300) | 0.344 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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