Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MOST -440 DEL +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -8.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -6.8 (-15.8) | 135.9 (+7.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -6.2 (-15.2) | 134.5 (+8.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -6.1 (-15.1) | 135.1 (+7.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -6.4 (-15.4) | 136.1 (+6.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2025 | MOST 61 – 43 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#201) | -7.1 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#206) | -1.24 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#184) | -1.44 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#198) | 0.440 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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