Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | OU -125 UGA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +16 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -4.4 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -1.9 (+17.9) | 168.2 (+3.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -2.4 (+18.4) | 164.3 (+7.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -2.2 (+18.2) | 164.5 (+7.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -4.2 (+20.2) | 167.5 (+4.5) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | OU 81 – 75 UGA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UGA 72 – 62 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#62) | 16.9 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#80) | 2.19 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#78) | 3.07 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#172) | 0.565 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.