Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -130 SHSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -1.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.3 (-4.3) | 158.9 (+3.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.5 (-3.5) | 156.4 (+5.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.5 (-3.5) | 156.5 (+5.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.3 (-3.7) | 158.1 (+3.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KENN 79 – 73 SHSU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SHSU 93 – 87 KENN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SHSU 78 – 76 KENN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | KENN 75 – 69 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#173) | 4.0 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#201) | 0.58 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#194) | 0.79 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#215) | 0.543 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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