Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -1050 UK +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +9 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -9.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -10.5 (-1.5) | 149.4 (+25.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -10.1 (-1.1) | 150.3 (+24.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -9.7 (-0.7) | 150.0 (+25.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -9.8 (-0.8) | 151.0 (+24.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | FLA 71 – 63 UK |
| Mar 7, 2026 | FLA 84 – 77 UK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UK 106 – 100 FLA |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FLA 94 – 91 UK |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UK 87 – 85 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 24.0 (#4) | 17.4 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#18) | 2.94 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.65 (#13) | 3.68 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#13) | 0.603 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 42.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.