Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UK +210 FLA -258 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -5.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -3.5 (-3.5) | 155.6 (+5.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -3.8 (-3.2) | 152.4 (+8.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -3.2 (-3.8) | 153.0 (+8.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -4.6 (-2.4) | 154.5 (+6.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | FLA 71 – 63 UK |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FLA 92 – 83 UK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UK 106 – 100 FLA |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FLA 94 – 91 UK |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UK 87 – 85 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#25) | 25.5 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#31) | 3.65 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#29) | 4.95 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#38) | 0.642 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 45.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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