Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | RID +195 MSM -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +10 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -3.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -4.3 (-5.7) | 133.4 (-13.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -3.8 (-6.2) | 133.3 (-13.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -2.8 (-7.2) | 136.4 (-16.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -3.8 (-6.2) | 136.5 (-16.5) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | MSM 71 – 61 RID |
| Feb 23, 2025 | MSM 79 – 72 RID |
| Jan 17, 2025 | RID 66 – 60 MSM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RID 61 – 57 MSM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | RID 66 – 62 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -16.1 (#352) | -9.6 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#357) | -1.05 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.98 (#358) | -1.50 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#345) | 0.453 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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