Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -185 STAN +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -4.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -3.6 (+1.4) | 148.4 (-17.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -3.2 (+1.8) | 149.9 (-18.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -3.0 (+2.0) | 151.5 (-20.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -2.8 (+2.2) | 150.6 (-19.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | WAKE 79 – 73 STAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WAKE 80 – 67 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#59) | 8.6 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#81) | 1.77 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#87) | 1.98 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#85) | 0.577 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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