Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -250 STAN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -2.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -3.4 (+9.6) | 139.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -3.8 (+9.2) | 138.9 (+8.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -4.2 (+8.8) | 139.7 (+7.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -3.5 (+9.5) | 140.5 (+6.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WAKE 68 – 63 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | WAKE 79 – 73 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 17-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#95) | 6.1 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#44) | 1.29 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#48) | 1.30 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#53) | 0.560 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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