Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -112 CCSU -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +6 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -1.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -0.2 (-5.8) | 136.2 (-16.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -0.3 (-5.7) | 134.9 (-14.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -0.6 (-5.4) | 135.2 (-15.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -0.9 (-5.1) | 135.9 (-15.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | FDU 76 – 66 CCSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CCSU 76 – 72 FDU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CCSU 87 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 60 FDU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CCSU 71 – 62 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-15 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#323) | -7.2 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#342) | -0.99 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#341) | -1.64 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#331) | 0.461 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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