Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -345 FDU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -10.2 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -9.0 (-19.0) | 137.0 (+5.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -8.0 (-18.0) | 137.1 (+4.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -8.5 (-18.5) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -8.5 (-18.5) | 139.4 (+2.6) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CCSU 63 – 57 FDU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CCSU 76 – 72 FDU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CCSU 87 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 60 FDU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CCSU 71 – 62 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#252) | -12.7 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#220) | -2.79 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#246) | -3.46 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#210) | 0.371 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.