Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -11.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -9.1 (-0.1) | 148.4 (-15.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -7.8 (+1.2) | 149.1 (-16.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -8.9 (+0.1) | 145.8 (-12.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -8.8 (+0.2) | 145.6 (-12.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CCSU 63 – 57 FDU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FDU 76 – 66 CCSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CCSU 76 – 72 FDU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CCSU 87 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 60 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#234) | -11.3 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#223) | -1.68 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#240) | -2.33 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#211) | 0.416 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.