Central Connecticut
Blue Devils
76
–
72
OT
FINAL
Conference
Northeast Conference
Fairleigh Dickinson
Knights
Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -600 FDU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -11.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -10.3 (-6.3) | 137.9 (+10.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -11.7 (-7.7) | 134.2 (+13.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -10.3 (-6.3) | 134.7 (+13.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -11.0 (-7.0) | 137.3 (+10.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CCSU 63 – 57 FDU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FDU 76 – 66 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CCSU 87 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 60 FDU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CCSU 71 – 62 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-7 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 12-3 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#171) | -9.0 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#134) | -1.72 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#154) | -2.13 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#102) | 0.428 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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