Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -1650 LSU +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -11.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -12.0 (-2.0) | 148.4 (-12.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.1 (-1.1) | 147.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.1 (-2.1) | 151.0 (-15.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.2 (-1.2) | 148.2 (-12.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | TENN 65 – 59 LSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TENN 88 – 68 LSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TENN 77 – 56 LSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 LSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LSU 79 – 67 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#21) | 10.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#23) | 1.28 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#22) | 1.87 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#31) | 0.530 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 44.8% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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