Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -1400 LSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +20 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -14.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -13.8 (+6.2) | 151.1 (+4.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -14.7 (+5.3) | 151.9 (+4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -13.8 (+6.2) | 151.7 (+4.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -12.9 (+7.1) | 152.1 (+3.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TENN 73 – 63 LSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | TENN 65 – 59 LSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TENN 77 – 56 LSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 LSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LSU 79 – 67 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#9) | 7.3 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#5) | 1.11 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#4) | 1.68 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#5) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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