Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -7.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -7.3 (+4.7) | 132.0 (+14.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -6.6 (+5.4) | 132.4 (+13.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -5.6 (+6.4) | 136.8 (+9.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -7.2 (+4.8) | 133.2 (+12.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TENN 73 – 63 LSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | TENN 65 – 59 LSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TENN 88 – 68 LSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TENN 77 – 56 LSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 21.1 (#3) | 17.7 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#7) | 2.53 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.02 (#8) | 3.48 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.686 (#4) | 0.612 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.0% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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