Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LSU +500 TENN -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +21 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -15.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -13.0 (-8.0) | 132.2 (+0.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -13.1 (-7.9) | 127.3 (+5.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -14.0 (-7.0) | 131.2 (+1.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -14.7 (-6.3) | 133.0 (-0.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TENN 73 – 63 LSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | TENN 65 – 59 LSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TENN 88 – 68 LSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 LSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LSU 79 – 67 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | 21.3 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#66) | 2.79 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#86) | 3.36 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#85) | 0.632 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 38.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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