Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | NHVN +270 LIU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NHVN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NHVN +3 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -6.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -6.0 (+9.0) | 128.1 (-21.1) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -7.0 (+10.0) | 128.6 (-21.6) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -6.9 (+9.9) | 128.9 (-21.9) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -7.0 (+10.0) | 130.3 (-23.3) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIU 60 – 55 NHVN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NHVN | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#329) | -2.1 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#335) | 0.09 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#333) | -0.03 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#307) | 0.514 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NHVN | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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