Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SYR +114 SMU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +1 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -4.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -2.6 (+3.6) | 156.2 (+0.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -1.5 (+2.5) | 155.9 (+1.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -1.5 (+2.5) | 155.4 (+1.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -1.9 (+2.9) | 158.2 (-1.2) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SMU 86 – 69 SYR |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SMU 73 – 53 SYR |
| Mar 5, 2025 | SMU 77 – 75 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 84.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#68) | 15.8 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#78) | 2.43 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#72) | 3.19 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#93) | 0.612 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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