Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | APSU -550 BELL +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +20 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -11.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -11.5 (+8.5) | 150.0 (+10.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -11.5 (+8.5) | 150.4 (+9.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -12.8 (+7.2) | 150.1 (+9.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -10.3 (+9.7) | 152.2 (+7.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BELL 111 – 97 APSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BELL 94 – 68 APSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | APSU 86 – 77 BELL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | APSU 90 – 87 BELL |
| Jan 4, 2024 | APSU 84 – 68 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 83.3 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#147) | -7.0 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#106) | -1.24 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#127) | -1.58 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#87) | 0.434 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.