Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
William & Mary Tribe
78 81
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Kaplan Arena · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread W&M -8.5 Away covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money W&M -410 / ELON +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total W&M win
Actual ELON +3 159 Lost
Massey W&M -8.5 (-11.5)
Massey Totals 170.0 (-11.0)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 85%
Baseline Plus ML W&M -8.2 (-11.2) 159.9 (-0.9) 79%
Model 4 ML W&M -6.2 (-9.2) 159.8 (-0.8) 76%
Model 3 ML W&M -8.2 (-11.2) 158.2 (+0.8) 80%
Baseline ML W&M -8.1 (-11.1) 159.3 (-0.3) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 W&M 7262 ELON
Jan 30, 2026 ELON 7976 W&M
Feb 23, 2025 W&M 7970 ELON
Jan 10, 2025 W&M 7865 ELON
Mar 1, 2024 ELON 7671 W&M

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings W&M ELON
Overall 20-12 14-18
Conference 10-8 6-12
Home 11-2 8-8
Away 6-9 6-9
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 81.5 76.8
Avg Pts Against 78.9 79.3
Massey 3.4 (#118) -2.1 (#205)
Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#125) -0.41 (#211)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.53 (#126) -0.65 (#218)
RPI 0.541 (#88) 0.496 (#191)
Shooting & Four Factors W&M ELON
FG% 47.3% 46.2%
3PT% 34.2% 34.8%
REB / G 34.4 35.6
OREB / G 9.0 11.8
AST / TO 1.42 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.8% 53.7%
TOV% 17.3% 15.8%
ORB% 26.8% 33.2%
FT Rate 29.6% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 16.2%
DRB% 68.1% 66.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 24.6%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.