Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -155 W&M +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +9 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -6.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -4.4 (-13.4) | 146.0 (+3.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ELON -4.6 (-13.6) | 151.8 (-2.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ELON -4.6 (-13.6) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -4.0 (-13.0) | 146.7 (+2.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
| Mar 1, 2024 | ELON 76 – 71 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#158) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#171) | -0.11 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#159) | -0.12 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#167) | 0.513 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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