Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -167 W&M +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -4.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -3.9 (+1.1) | 141.8 (+5.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ELON -2.4 (+2.6) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ELON -3.3 (+1.7) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -2.9 (+2.1) | 140.4 (+6.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#310) | -9.7 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#290) | -2.07 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#301) | -2.36 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#284) | 0.392 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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