Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +110 W&M -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -1.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -0.2 (+2.8) | 157.1 (-2.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -1.1 (+1.9) | 161.2 (-6.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -1.0 (+2.0) | 159.9 (-4.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -0.3 (+3.3) | 158.1 (-3.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
| Mar 1, 2024 | ELON 76 – 71 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#180) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#167) | 0.74 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#184) | 0.79 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#144) | 0.567 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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