Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -360 TA&M +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -8.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -9.7 (+3.3) | 168.6 (-17.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -10.5 (+2.5) | 165.9 (-14.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -9.1 (+3.9) | 162.2 (-11.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -8.3 (+4.7) | 164.0 (-13.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | VAN 86 – 84 TA&M |
| Feb 14, 2024 | VAN 74 – 73 TA&M |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TA&M 87 – 75 VAN |
| Jan 29, 2023 | TA&M 72 – 66 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2022 | VAN 72 – 67 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 86.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 20.7 (#13) | 15.2 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#17) | 2.25 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.53 (#16) | 2.97 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#16) | 0.555 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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