So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Southeastern Conference · Reed Arena · February 27, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread TA&M -7.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money TA&M -340 / VAN +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total TA&M win
Actual VAN +2 170 Lost
Massey TA&M -7.1 (-9.1)
Massey Totals 145.6 (+24.4)
Bradley-Terry 75%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML TA&M -7.3 (-9.3) 142.4 (+27.6) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML TA&M -6.3 (-8.3) 144.2 (+25.8) 74%
Baseline ML TA&M -6.5 (-8.5) 143.9 (+26.1) 75%
Baseline Plus ML TA&M -6.4 (-8.4) 142.8 (+27.2) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 VAN 8269 TA&M
Feb 14, 2024 VAN 7473 TA&M
Mar 11, 2023 TA&M 8775 VAN
Jan 29, 2023 TA&M 7266 VAN
Feb 19, 2022 VAN 7267 TA&M

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TA&M VAN
Overall 23-11 20-13
Conference 11-7 8-10
Home 13-3 14-3
Away 5-5 3-7
Neutral 5-3 3-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 74.6 78.9
Avg Pts Against 68.7 74.3
Massey 16.7 (#21) 12.8 (#45)
Bradley-Terry 3.31 (#8) 2.76 (#23)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.94 (#13) 3.07 (#34)
RPI 0.632 (#10) 0.574 (#52)
Shooting & Four Factors TA&M VAN
FG% 42.1% 45.6%
3PT% 30.6% 32.6%
REB / G 40.8 34.9
OREB / G 15.8 11.7
AST / TO 1.00 1.40
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 52.2%
TOV% 18.2% 14.4%
ORB% 41.8% 32.1%
FT Rate 27.5% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 20.6%
DRB% 72.3% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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