Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | TA&M -250 VAN +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +12 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -5.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -3.1 (+8.9) | 138.9 (+23.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -4.1 (+7.9) | 138.1 (+23.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.7 (+8.3) | 139.2 (+22.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.7 (+8.3) | 138.7 (+23.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VAN 82 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VAN 86 – 84 TA&M |
| Feb 14, 2024 | VAN 74 – 73 TA&M |
| Jan 29, 2023 | TA&M 72 – 66 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2022 | VAN 72 – 67 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#31) | 6.6 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#27) | 1.65 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#30) | 1.77 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#36) | 0.580 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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