Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -500 VAN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -8.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -7.9 (-1.9) | 140.8 (-2.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -8.5 (-2.5) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -8.4 (-2.4) | 144.6 (-6.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -7.9 (-1.9) | 143.4 (-5.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VAN 82 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VAN 86 – 84 TA&M |
| Feb 14, 2024 | VAN 74 – 73 TA&M |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TA&M 87 – 75 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2022 | VAN 72 – 67 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#44) | 5.4 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#57) | 0.93 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#63) | 1.03 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#65) | 0.561 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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