Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | VAN -175 TA&M +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -2.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -2.3 (+2.7) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -2.7 (+2.3) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -2.8 (+2.2) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -2.6 (+2.4) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VAN 82 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VAN 86 – 84 TA&M |
| Feb 14, 2024 | VAN 74 – 73 TA&M |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TA&M 87 – 75 VAN |
| Jan 29, 2023 | TA&M 72 – 66 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-8 | 16-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#69) | 7.8 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#84) | 1.48 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#93) | 1.71 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#81) | 0.541 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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