Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | VAN +320 TA&M -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -10.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -10.4 (+11.4) | 134.9 (+12.1) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -10.7 (+11.7) | 134.8 (+12.2) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -12.0 (+13.0) | 136.5 (+10.5) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -12.0 (+13.0) | 137.6 (+9.4) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VAN 82 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VAN 86 – 84 TA&M |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TA&M 87 – 75 VAN |
| Jan 29, 2023 | TA&M 72 – 66 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2022 | VAN 72 – 67 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#215) | 11.3 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#268) | 1.93 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#253) | 2.48 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#256) | 0.586 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 18.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 43.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.