← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

81–38 on winners spread MAE 8.9 119 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Xavier @ Butler	-5.2	147.2	34%	67–69	✗
Marist @ Saint Peter's	+3.2	124.7	64%	56–67	✓
Fairfield @ Rider	+5.5	130.7	70%	57–58	✓
Quinnipiac @ Niagara	-3.1	132.2	43%	73–79	✗
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's	-3.8	127.3	38%	72–65	✓
Iona @ Canisius	-10.2	146.3	20%	80–59	✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State	+7.7	136.7	81%	65–69	✓
Youngstown State @ Purdue Fort Wayne	-1.9	150.2	47%	81–72	✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State	+6.9	131.3	79%	55–57	✓
Akron @ Ohio	+0.1	144.1	53%	81–90	✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton	+6.0	140.0	72%	56–70	✓
New Mexico @ Air Force	-6.6	141.0	27%	77–89	✗
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State	+3.9	143.0	62%	65–83	✓
Fresno State @ Nevada	+10.5	130.1	85%	66–77	✓
West Virginia @ Texas	+6.0	147.5	77%	60–94	✓
Marquette @ Georgetown	-11.9	151.3	15%	89–75	✓
Providence @ St. John's	-3.1	151.4	39%	68–73	✗
NC State @ Boston College	-6.6	141.3	28%	92–62	✓
Colgate @ Bucknell	-7.3	139.6	20%	76–56	✓
Pittsburgh @ Florida State	-5.7	146.2	28%	83–75	✓
Penn State @ Maryland	+7.1	137.7	78%	68–74	✓
Kentucky @ Georgia	-5.8	140.6	26%	68–75	✗
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne	+5.2	136.3	73%	54–56	✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma	-2.5	142.3	33%	78–55	✓
Boston University @ Lafayette	+1.0	126.7	54%	65–69	✓
Bryant @ UMBC	-0.4	153.1	48%	73–76	✗
South Carolina @ Ole Miss	+9.6	137.3	82%	64–61	✗
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's	+4.3	156.0	75%	69–81	✓
Long Island University @ Wagner	+14.0	126.2	86%	46–58	✓
Bellarmine @ Queens University	+4.7	141.2	68%	88–84	✗
Army @ Navy	+5.2	135.7	70%	53–70	✓
UConn @ Creighton	+1.8	143.5	63%	53–56	✓
Rutgers @ Illinois	+4.4	132.6	76%	60–69	✓
Holy Cross @ American University	+9.2	129.0	77%	74–66	✗
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa	-1.8	146.6	45%	80–62	✓
UIC @ Belmont	+12.5	147.0	86%	71–98	✓
Murray State @ Bradley	+10.9	138.2	86%	48–83	✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic	+10.4	141.8	86%	85–90	✓
Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame	-5.5	146.1	27%	93–87	✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton	+4.2	137.3	64%	66–80	✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard	+0.8	138.9	54%	80–72	✗
Princeton @ Dartmouth	-7.2	143.6	26%	76–83	✗
Cornell @ Brown	-1.2	152.7	54%	66–80	✗
Rhode Island @ George Mason	+5.4	134.4	72%	67–75	✓
Massachusetts @ La Salle	-0.5	141.4	50%	72–86	✗
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian	-5.9	136.4	25%	76–72	✓
Campbell @ Gardner-Webb	+6.0	128.5	76%	73–77	✓
Western Carolina @ Furman	+14.0	154.6	88%	59–93	✓
Bowling Green @ Ball State	+7.7	147.8	80%	72–93	✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Stonehill	+5.3	128.8	74%	51–62	✓
Marshall @ Georgia State	-7.4	150.4	25%	88–77	✓
James Madison @ Coastal Carolina	-7.3	149.6	25%	73–66	✓
Omaha @ North Dakota	+5.0	148.1	76%	73–76	✓
Denver @ North Dakota State	+6.3	146.0	79%	70–78	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Stony Brook	-0.2	136.3	50%	59–69	✗
William & Mary @ Elon	+2.3	136.8	68%	55–66	✓
Towson @ Drexel	-0.1	128.6	48%	66–73	✗
Hofstra @ Monmouth	-13.4	139.4	16%	86–57	✓
Stetson @ North Florida	-2.3	152.8	50%	81–92	✗
Southern Illinois @ Drake	+6.8	130.3	78%	59–82	✓
Alabama @ Auburn	-1.7	153.2	53%	77–69	✓
Clemson @ North Carolina	+6.6	146.6	79%	71–91	✓
Fordham @ Davidson	+3.1	141.0	61%	73–71	✗
The Citadel @ Samford	+11.5	147.5	87%	70–76	✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern	+5.3	128.2	73%	53–68	✓
Oral Roberts @ Western Illinois	-13.0	153.6	16%	82–73	✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida	+7.2	141.8	75%	88–80	✗
Mercer @ Chattanooga	+7.1	139.3	74%	56–73	✓
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH)	+3.7	140.4	66%	66–60	✗
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss	+11.8	137.5	86%	67–76	✓
Baylor @ TCU	+2.2	146.3	52%	72–68	✗
UNLV @ San Diego State	+8.6	142.2	83%	71–82	✓
Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff	+4.2	141.1	65%	74–71	✗
Howard @ Delaware State	-3.9	140.4	23%	86–85	✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State	+1.6	159.5	71%	84–94	✓
Maine @ NJIT	-0.7	136.0	58%	50–65	✗
UTEP @ UTSA	-5.8	134.9	26%	77–66	✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB	+7.8	148.9	81%	69–92	✓
Norfolk State @ Maryland Eastern Shore	-0.8	138.5	46%	76–73	✓
Wisconsin @ Nebraska	-0.9	129.3	43%	63–73	✗
Loyola Chicago @ Richmond	+9.4	138.3	83%	71–74	✓
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois	+5.4	144.1	73%	53–81	✓
Merrimack @ Saint Francis	+0.5	134.9	40%	75–68	✗
Charleston @ Hampton	-14.8	154.4	14%	83–70	✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge	-1.0	121.8	50%	53–64	✗
Portland State @ Northern Arizona	+1.3	149.4	58%	88–87	✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville	-0.5	128.1	46%	62–51	✓
Duke @ Virginia	+4.5	121.4	67%	62–69	✓
Jackson State @ Florida A&M	-3.6	132.4	23%	69–58	✓
Morgan State @ North Carolina Central	+6.0	139.6	76%	63–83	✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	+12.8	146.2	87%	52–61	✓
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana	+0.5	152.7	54%	88–77	✗
East Texas A&M @ Northwestern State	+8.1	143.7	82%	64–72	✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State	+2.7	150.4	67%	53–67	✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville	+10.7	141.6	84%	84–73	✗
Little Rock @ UT Martin	+5.4	156.9	71%	61–84	✓
Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas	+0.3	146.4	53%	69–76	✓
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman	-4.5	141.1	23%	76–74	✓
Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest	+13.0	148.1	88%	70–71	✓
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans	-1.3	141.9	38%	79–78	✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Winthrop	+4.8	138.1	73%	79–70	✗
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson	+4.0	143.4	61%	77–73	✗
Louisiana @ Troy	-0.1	141.2	52%	65–80	✗
Old Dominion @ Texas State	+0.8	127.9	44%	70–68	✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State	+1.5	141.4	58%	65–59	✗
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State	+7.0	134.7	80%	71–74	✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word	+4.5	149.9	63%	84–78	✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling	+8.4	136.0	77%	46–65	✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern	-3.4	136.6	37%	90–71	✓
Missouri @ Tennessee	+13.3	143.5	81%	86–85	✗
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State	+6.0	130.8	68%	64–56	✗
Saint Mary's @ Portland	-11.5	136.7	15%	81–64	✓
Indiana @ Michigan	-0.9	144.6	47%	62–61	✓
USC @ Oregon State	-7.0	131.3	24%	58–61	✗
Charlotte @ North Texas	+7.1	117.7	78%	43–67	✓
Mississippi State @ Arkansas	+5.5	130.0	70%	70–64	✗
App State @ South Alabama	+3.5	131.4	67%	57–74	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern	+4.6	138.4	72%	65–79	✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho	-5.6	146.8	28%	73–66	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.