Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +210 JKST -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +11 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -1.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -3.3 (-7.7) | 134.2 (-7.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -3.6 (-7.4) | 132.4 (-5.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -2.7 (-8.3) | 134.2 (-7.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -2.0 (-9.0) | 135.0 (-8.0) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-7 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-15 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#356) | -9.6 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#357) | -1.65 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.33 (#359) | -2.51 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#358) | 0.413 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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