With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Sun Belt Conference · Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TXST -0.5 Away covered
O/U 124.5 Over
Money TXST -110 / ODU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total TXST win
Actual ODU +2 138 Lost
Massey TXST -1.6 (-3.6) — —
Massey Totals — 124.9 (+13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 53% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ODU -0.2 (-1.8) 131.2 (+6.8) 44% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TXST -0.8 (-2.8) 127.9 (+10.1) 44% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TXST -0.5 (-2.5) 130.0 (+8.0) 50% ✗
Baseline ML TXST -0.1 (-2.1) 131.5 (+6.5) 43% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 TXST 81 – 64 ODU
Mar 7, 2025 ODU 64 – 61 TXST
Feb 6, 2025 ODU 75 – 64 TXST
Mar 6, 2024 TXST 92 – 83 ODU
Mar 2, 2023 TXST 65 – 36 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TXST ODU
Overall 16-19 19-12
Conference 6-12 11-7
Home 4-10 12-4
Away 7-7 6-5
Neutral 5-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.2 66.7
Avg Pts Against 66.8 66.5
Massey -2.0 (#209) -0.0 (#168)
Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#207) 0.21 (#151)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#209) 0.20 (#155)
RPI 0.482 (#215) 0.528 (#126)
Shooting & Four Factors TXST ODU
FG% 42.6% 42.5%
3PT% 30.5% 32.0%
REB / G 32.5 37.4
OREB / G 10.4 12.0
AST / TO 0.78 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 47.2%
TOV% 18.6% 17.0%
ORB% 31.4% 33.0%
FT Rate 24.6% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 18.1%
DRB% 72.1% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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