Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -175 ODU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +9 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -3.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+39.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -3.0 (+6.0) | 139.4 (+35.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -3.2 (+5.8) | 138.0 (+37.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -3.7 (+5.3) | 136.5 (+38.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -3.6 (+5.4) | 137.6 (+37.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TXST 81 – 64 ODU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ODU 64 – 61 TXST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ODU 75 – 64 TXST |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TXST 65 – 36 ODU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ODU 70 – 68 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#224) | -6.9 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#218) | -1.84 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#199) | -1.82 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#178) | 0.413 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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