Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +130 TXST -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -4.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -3.4 (+14.4) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -2.8 (+13.8) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -3.0 (+14.0) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -2.9 (+13.9) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TXST 81 – 64 ODU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ODU 64 – 61 TXST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TXST 92 – 83 ODU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TXST 65 – 36 ODU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ODU 70 – 68 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#315) | -1.4 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#259) | -0.29 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#263) | -0.60 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#267) | 0.499 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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