Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -290 ODU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -7.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -4.7 (-7.7) | 143.5 (-18.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -4.9 (-7.9) | 141.9 (-16.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -5.4 (-8.4) | 142.5 (-17.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -5.3 (-8.3) | 143.7 (-18.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TXST 81 – 64 ODU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ODU 75 – 64 TXST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TXST 92 – 83 ODU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TXST 65 – 36 ODU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ODU 70 – 68 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#197) | -9.0 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#211) | -1.19 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#224) | -1.47 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#192) | 0.448 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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