Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -188 TXST +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +29 | 101 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -3.7 (-32.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -3.1 (-32.1) | 132.0 (-31.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -2.5 (-31.5) | 128.3 (-27.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -3.3 (-32.3) | 133.4 (-32.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -3.4 (-32.4) | 133.7 (-32.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TXST 81 – 64 ODU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ODU 64 – 61 TXST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ODU 75 – 64 TXST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TXST 92 – 83 ODU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ODU 70 – 68 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#146) | -2.4 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#123) | -0.45 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#126) | -0.60 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#85) | 0.472 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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